Fuel prices are expected to go up next year, as the federal government plans to cut subsidies on petroleum products by half in the 2015 budget. This follows sharp falls in global crude prices, spurred the government to revise its 2015 budget downwards, data from the revised budget seen by Reuters showed on Friday. President Goodluck Jonathan submitted the revised budget figures to the National Assembly last week, proposing to spend N458.68 billion ($2.59 bln) on petrol subsidy in 2015, down from N971.14 billion presented for 2014.
It also assumed further cuts to petrol subsidies in 2016 to N408.68 billion and N371.18 billion for 2017. Finance Minister, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, has proposed lowering the assumed benchmark oil price for the country’s 2015 budget to $73 per barrel from the $78 proposed in September, after global crude prices collapsed. Okonjo-Iweala told Reuters on Thursday that declines in the price of oil, which has lost almost 30 percent since July, would impact Africa’s largest economy and top oil producer, requiring the government to cut non-essential spending and raise more revenues.
Nigeria tried to end subsidy in 2012 in efforts to cut government spending and encourage badly needed investment in local refining, doubling the price of a litre of petrol overnight to about 150 naira ($0.93) from about 65 naira. The move angered citizens, who see cheap petrol prices as the only benefit they derive from living in an oil-rich country, and led to eight days of nationwide strikes. The government later reinstated part of the subsidy to end the strikes. The budget proposals assumed an exchange rate of 162 naira to the U.S. dollar for 2015, weaker than 160 naira assumed for 2014. It expects the naira to weaken further to 163.50 in 2016, reaching 165 in 2017.
The naira has come under pressure in the past two months, losing almost 11 percent this year, from falling oil prices, which have weakened appetites for assets in Africa’s biggest economy and chief oil exporter. The currency shed 0.76 percent on Friday to close at a record low of 177.45 naira against the greenback, despite the central bank intervening for a fifth day with dollar sales to prop it up, dealers said.
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